{"id":118148,"date":"2024-01-22T20:55:16","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T19:55:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/118148\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T04:53:17","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T03:53:17","slug":"erste-zeichen-einer-konjunkturerholung-prognose-fuer-2013-und-2014","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/","title":{"rendered":"Early Signs of Cyclical Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-118148","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Uncertainty on financial markets has subsided somewhat, while companies are regaining confidence in their short-term business outlook. After a sustained decline in demand and output since the end of 2011, the second recession within five years in the euro area seems to have ended. Also in Austria, business sentiment is rebounding even if the recovery remains tentative for the time being.","onlinedate":"2013-10-28 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20131001","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":349360,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"86","monthly_report_pages":"799-809","monthly_report_pages_sort":"799","issue":"10","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2013-10-28 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3837],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3837,\"personName\":\"Marcus Scheiblecker\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Scheiblecker, M.<\\\/span> (2013). <span>Erste Zeichen einer Konjunkturerholung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2013 und 2014<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>86<\\\/em>(10), 799-809. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/46973\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/46973<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Scheiblecker M<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Erste Zeichen einer Konjunkturerholung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2013 und 2014<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2013 Oct;86(10):799-809.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{5f1bf343d4a648f48ca63259adf21808,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Erste Zeichen einer Konjunkturerholung. Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2013 und 2014\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Nach sechs Quartalen einer r{\\\\\\\"u}ckl{\\\\\\\"a}ufigen Wirtschaftsleistung in Folge stieg das BIP im Euro-Raum im II. Quartal 2013 erstmals wieder. Die Unternehmensumfragen deuten auf ein Anhalten der positiven Entwicklung in naher Zukunft hin. Wegen vielf{\\\\\\\"a}ltiger Strukturprobleme wird die Besserung der Wirtschaftslage jedoch verhalten ausfallen. Nach dieser sp{\\\\\\\"a}ten Belebung wird das Wirtschaftswachstum 2013 auch in {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich schwach sein (+0,4\\\\%). Die Konjunktur wird Ende 2013 an Schwung gewinnen, 2014 wird sich das BIP um 1,7\\\\% erh{\\\\\\\"o}hen. Dennoch wird die Arbeitslosenquote nicht sinken. Die Inflation bleibt bei rund 2\\\\% niedrig.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunkturprognose {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Marcus Scheiblecker\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2013\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = oct,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"86\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"799--809\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Erste Zeichen einer Konjunkturerholung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2013 und 2014<\\\/p><p>AU  - Scheiblecker, Marcus<\\\/p><p>N1  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2013\\\/10<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2013\\\/10<\\\/p><p>N2  - Nach sechs Quartalen einer r\u00fcckl\u00e4ufigen Wirtschaftsleistung in Folge stieg das BIP im Euro-Raum im II. Quartal 2013 erstmals wieder. Die Unternehmensumfragen deuten auf ein Anhalten der positiven Entwicklung in naher Zukunft hin. Wegen vielf\u00e4ltiger Strukturprobleme wird die Besserung der Wirtschaftslage jedoch verhalten ausfallen. Nach dieser sp\u00e4ten Belebung wird das Wirtschaftswachstum 2013 auch in \u00d6sterreich schwach sein (+0,4%). Die Konjunktur wird Ende 2013 an Schwung gewinnen, 2014 wird sich das BIP um 1,7% erh\u00f6hen. Dennoch wird die Arbeitslosenquote nicht sinken. Die Inflation bleibt bei rund 2% niedrig.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Nach sechs Quartalen einer r\u00fcckl\u00e4ufigen Wirtschaftsleistung in Folge stieg das BIP im Euro-Raum im II. Quartal 2013 erstmals wieder. Die Unternehmensumfragen deuten auf ein Anhalten der positiven Entwicklung in naher Zukunft hin. Wegen vielf\u00e4ltiger Strukturprobleme wird die Besserung der Wirtschaftslage jedoch verhalten ausfallen. Nach dieser sp\u00e4ten Belebung wird das Wirtschaftswachstum 2013 auch in \u00d6sterreich schwach sein (+0,4%). Die Konjunktur wird Ende 2013 an Schwung gewinnen, 2014 wird sich das BIP um 1,7% erh\u00f6hen. Dennoch wird die Arbeitslosenquote nicht sinken. Die Inflation bleibt bei rund 2% niedrig.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 86<\\\/p><p>SP  - 799<\\\/p><p>EP  - 809<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Early Signs of Cyclical Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014 - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Early Signs of Cyclical Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-07T03:53:17+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/118148\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/118148\\\/\",\"name\":\"Early Signs of Cyclical Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014 - WIFO\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-22T19:55:16+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-11-07T03:53:17+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/118148\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/118148\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/118148\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Startseite\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Early Signs of Cyclical Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"width\":2000,\"height\":429,\"caption\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/WIFOat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/WIFOat\",\"https:\\\/\\\/linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/wifoat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.youtube.com\\\/@WIFO_at\"],\"description\":\"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.\",\"email\":\"office@wifo.ac.at\",\"telephone\":\"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0\",\"legalName\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"foundingDate\":\"1927-01-02\",\"numberOfEmployees\":{\"@type\":\"QuantitativeValue\",\"minValue\":\"51\",\"maxValue\":\"200\"},\"publishingPrinciples\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/mission-und-strategie\\\/\",\"ownershipFundingInfo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/organisation\\\/\",\"actionableFeedbackPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/aktuelles\\\/presse\\\/\",\"correctionsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/kontakt\\\/\",\"ethicsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\\\/\",\"diversityPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\",\"diversityStaffingReport\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Early Signs of Cyclical Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014 - WIFO","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Early Signs of Cyclical Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014","og_url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/","og_site_name":"WIFO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","article_modified_time":"2024-11-07T03:53:17+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1280,"url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@WIFOat","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/","name":"Early Signs of Cyclical Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014 - WIFO","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-01-22T19:55:16+00:00","dateModified":"2024-11-07T03:53:17+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/118148\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Startseite","item":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Early Signs of Cyclical Recovery. Economic Outlook for 2013 and 2014"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization"},"alternateName":"WIFO","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","alternateName":"WIFO","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","width":2000,"height":429,"caption":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","https:\/\/x.com\/WIFOat","https:\/\/linkedin.com\/company\/wifoat\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@WIFO_at"],"description":"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.","email":"office@wifo.ac.at","telephone":"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0","legalName":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","foundingDate":"1927-01-02","numberOfEmployees":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","minValue":"51","maxValue":"200"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/mission-und-strategie\/","ownershipFundingInfo":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/organisation\/","actionableFeedbackPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/aktuelles\/presse\/","correctionsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/kontakt\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\/","diversityPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/","diversityStaffingReport":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/118148","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publication"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/118148\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":349338,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/118148\/revisions\/349338"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person\/3837"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research_group\/3500"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication_type\/44312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=118148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}