{"id":116536,"date":"2024-01-22T20:05:23","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T19:05:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/116536\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T04:40:05","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T03:40:05","slug":"wirtschaftsentwicklung-divergiert-in-den-kommenden-jahren-auch-in-mitteleuropa-ost-und-suedosteuropa-zwischen-norden-und-sueden","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/116536\/","title":{"rendered":"Economic North-South Divide also in the Countries of Central, Eastern and South-Eastern Europe"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-116536","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The present economic crisis bears all the familiar hallmarks of the financial, debt-related and structural aspects of a current accounts crisis. All these aspects have lasting level effects and recovery can be very protracted. Export-led growth was an important feature of the 2010-11 recovery period, yet significant inter-country differences persisted. A few countries with severe pre-crisis imbalances (Romania, Bulgaria and the Baltic countries) enjoyed reasonable export growth during that period, while other structurally weak economies on the European periphery (Western Balkan countries and the Southern EU) were less successful in that respect. The latter group of countries will continue to lag behind during the forecasting period of 2012-2014, while some of the Central European economies (Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia) should manage to evade the vicious circle of low growth, high interest rates and unsustainable debt.","onlinedate":"2012-05-22 02:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20120501","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"MOEL\",\"MOSOEL\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":344471,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"85","monthly_report_pages":"351-359","monthly_report_pages_sort":"351","issue":"5","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[11983,13987,11851,11849],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":11983,\"personName\":\"Vasily Astrov\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":13987,\"personName\":\"Doris Hanzl-Weiss\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":11851,\"personName\":\"Mario Holzner\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":11849,\"personName\":\"Sebastian Leitner\",\"organisationNames\":[\"The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies\"]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\">Astrov, V., Hanzl-Weiss, D., Holzner, M., &amp; Leitner, S. (2012). <span>Wirtschaftsentwicklung divergiert in den kommenden Jahren auch in Mitteleuropa, Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropa zwischen Norden und S\u00fcden<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>85<\\\/em>(5), 351-359. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/44375\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/44375<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\">Astrov V, Hanzl-Weiss D, Holzner M, Leitner S. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Wirtschaftsentwicklung divergiert in den kommenden Jahren auch in Mitteleuropa, Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropa zwischen Norden und S\u00fcden<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2012 May;85(5):351-359.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{576ab973c90d4bb8866bf8acd4a2ddbc,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Wirtschaftsentwicklung divergiert in den kommenden Jahren auch in Mitteleuropa, Ost- und S{\\\\\\\"u}dosteuropa zwischen Norden und S{\\\\\\\"u}den\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Die gegenw{\\\\\\\"a}rtige Wirtschaftskrise weist alle jene Merkmale auf, die mit finanziellen, verschuldungsbezogenen und strukturellen Aspekten von Leistungsbilanzkrisen verbunden werden. Daraus ergeben sich dauerhaft d{\\\\\\\"a}mpfende Effekte f{\\\\\\\"u}r die Entwicklung der Gesamtnachfrage in den L{\\\\\\\"a}ndern Mitteleuropas, Ost- und S{\\\\\\\"u}dosteuropas, sodass sich eine nachhaltige Erholung verz{\\\\\\\"o}gert. Strukturschwache Volkswirtschaften wie etwa die Westbalkanl{\\\\\\\"a}nder werden auch im Prognosezeitraum 2012\\\/2014 kaum expandieren, w{\\\\\\\"a}hrend einige mitteleurop{\\\\\\\"a}ische Volkswirtschaften, insbesondere Tschechien, Polen und die Slowakei dank kr{\\\\\\\"a}ftigem Wachstum eine Schuldenkrise vermeiden k{\\\\\\\"o}nnen sollten.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"MOEL, MOSOEL, MOEL, MOSOEL\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Vasily Astrov and Doris Hanzl-Weiss and Mario Holzner and Sebastian Leitner\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Mittel-Ost-S{\\\\\\\"u}dosteuropa\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2012\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = may,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"85\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"351--359\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Wirtschaftsentwicklung divergiert in den kommenden Jahren auch in Mitteleuropa, Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropa zwischen Norden und S\u00fcden<\\\/p><p>AU  - Astrov, Vasily<\\\/p><p>AU  - Hanzl-Weiss, Doris<\\\/p><p>AU  - Holzner, Mario<\\\/p><p>AU  - Leitner, Sebastian<\\\/p><p>N1  - Mittel-Ost-S\u00fcdosteuropa<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2012\\\/5<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2012\\\/5<\\\/p><p>N2  - Die gegenw\u00e4rtige Wirtschaftskrise weist alle jene Merkmale auf, die mit finanziellen, verschuldungsbezogenen und strukturellen Aspekten von Leistungsbilanzkrisen verbunden werden. Daraus ergeben sich dauerhaft d\u00e4mpfende Effekte f\u00fcr die Entwicklung der Gesamtnachfrage in den L\u00e4ndern Mitteleuropas, Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropas, sodass sich eine nachhaltige Erholung verz\u00f6gert. Strukturschwache Volkswirtschaften wie etwa die Westbalkanl\u00e4nder werden auch im Prognosezeitraum 2012\\\/2014 kaum expandieren, w\u00e4hrend einige mitteleurop\u00e4ische Volkswirtschaften, insbesondere Tschechien, Polen und die Slowakei dank kr\u00e4ftigem Wachstum eine Schuldenkrise vermeiden k\u00f6nnen sollten.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Die gegenw\u00e4rtige Wirtschaftskrise weist alle jene Merkmale auf, die mit finanziellen, verschuldungsbezogenen und strukturellen Aspekten von Leistungsbilanzkrisen verbunden werden. Daraus ergeben sich dauerhaft d\u00e4mpfende Effekte f\u00fcr die Entwicklung der Gesamtnachfrage in den L\u00e4ndern Mitteleuropas, Ost- und S\u00fcdosteuropas, sodass sich eine nachhaltige Erholung verz\u00f6gert. Strukturschwache Volkswirtschaften wie etwa die Westbalkanl\u00e4nder werden auch im Prognosezeitraum 2012\\\/2014 kaum expandieren, w\u00e4hrend einige mitteleurop\u00e4ische Volkswirtschaften, insbesondere Tschechien, Polen und die Slowakei dank kr\u00e4ftigem Wachstum eine Schuldenkrise vermeiden k\u00f6nnen sollten.<\\\/p><p>KW  - MOEL<\\\/p><p>KW  - MOSOEL<\\\/p><p>KW  - MOEL<\\\/p><p>KW  - MOSOEL<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 85<\\\/p><p>SP  - 351<\\\/p><p>EP  - 359<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.3 (Yoast SEO v28.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Economic North-South Divide also in the Countries of Central, Eastern and South-Eastern Europe - 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