{"id":116358,"date":"2024-01-22T20:00:53","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T19:00:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/116358\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T04:38:31","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T03:38:31","slug":"euro-raum-voruebergehend-in-der-rezession-prognose-fuer-2012-und-2013","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/116358\/","title":{"rendered":"Euro Area in Temporary Recession. Economic Outlook for 2012 and 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-116358","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The euro area economy is currently in recession. By the middle of the year, however, economic activity is expected to head up again, even if the recovery promises to be subdued given the fiscal restraint in many countries. While the export-oriented sector in Germany and Austria continues to receive stimulus from economies outside Europe, it will nevertheless be affected by sluggish euro area growth. Real GDP in Austria is likely to edge up by 0.4 percent in 2012. Growth in 2013 should strengthen to 1.4 percent, driven by foreign demand, but dampened by fiscal consolidation. The rise in oil prices will prevent a speedy decline in inflation.","onlinedate":"2012-04-18 02:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20120401","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":343991,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"85","monthly_report_pages":"223-236","monthly_report_pages_sort":"223","issue":"4","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3837],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3837,\"personName\":\"Marcus Scheiblecker\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Scheiblecker, M.<\\\/span> (2012). <span>Euro-Raum vor\u00fcbergehend in der Rezession. Prognose f\u00fcr 2012 und 2013<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>85<\\\/em>(4), 223-236. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/44053\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/44053<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Scheiblecker M<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Euro-Raum vor\u00fcbergehend in der Rezession. Prognose f\u00fcr 2012 und 2013<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2012 Apr;85(4):223-236.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{8b043dbcffbf4f2088b298e042321773,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Euro-Raum vor{\\\\\\\"u}bergehend in der Rezession. Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2012 und 2013\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Ende 2011 schrumpfte die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion im Euro-Raum. Die Konjunkturschw{\\\\\\\"a}che sollte um die Jahresmitte 2012 {\\\\\\\"u}berwunden werden k{\\\\\\\"o}nnen, jedoch werden die europaweiten Sparbem{\\\\\\\"u}hungen den Aufschwung d{\\\\\\\"a}mpfen. F{\\\\\\\"u}r den Euro-Raum insgesamt wird 2012 mit einem R{\\\\\\\"u}ckgang des BIP um real 0,2\\\\% gerechnet. 2013 d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte die Wirtschaft wieder um 1,3\\\\% wachsen. Als exportorientierte Volkswirtschaften werden Deutschland und {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich von den Wachstumsimpulsen aus {\\\\\\\"U}bersee besonders profitieren. In der Folge wird die heimische Wirtschaft heuer um 0,4\\\\% expandieren. 2013 sollte sich der Anstieg auf 1,4\\\\% verst{\\\\\\\"a}rken. Die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte in beiden Jahren schwieriger werden.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunkturprognose {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich, Konjunkturprognose {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Marcus Scheiblecker\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2012\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = apr,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"85\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"223--236\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Euro-Raum vor\u00fcbergehend in der Rezession. Prognose f\u00fcr 2012 und 2013<\\\/p><p>AU  - Scheiblecker, Marcus<\\\/p><p>N1  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2012\\\/4<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2012\\\/4<\\\/p><p>N2  - Ende 2011 schrumpfte die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion im Euro-Raum. Die Konjunkturschw\u00e4che sollte um die Jahresmitte 2012 \u00fcberwunden werden k\u00f6nnen, jedoch werden die europaweiten Sparbem\u00fchungen den Aufschwung d\u00e4mpfen. F\u00fcr den Euro-Raum insgesamt wird 2012 mit einem R\u00fcckgang des BIP um real 0,2% gerechnet. 2013 d\u00fcrfte die Wirtschaft wieder um 1,3% wachsen. Als exportorientierte Volkswirtschaften werden Deutschland und \u00d6sterreich von den Wachstumsimpulsen aus \u00dcbersee besonders profitieren. In der Folge wird die heimische Wirtschaft heuer um 0,4% expandieren. 2013 sollte sich der Anstieg auf 1,4% verst\u00e4rken. Die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt d\u00fcrfte in beiden Jahren schwieriger werden.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Ende 2011 schrumpfte die gesamtwirtschaftliche Produktion im Euro-Raum. Die Konjunkturschw\u00e4che sollte um die Jahresmitte 2012 \u00fcberwunden werden k\u00f6nnen, jedoch werden die europaweiten Sparbem\u00fchungen den Aufschwung d\u00e4mpfen. F\u00fcr den Euro-Raum insgesamt wird 2012 mit einem R\u00fcckgang des BIP um real 0,2% gerechnet. 2013 d\u00fcrfte die Wirtschaft wieder um 1,3% wachsen. Als exportorientierte Volkswirtschaften werden Deutschland und \u00d6sterreich von den Wachstumsimpulsen aus \u00dcbersee besonders profitieren. In der Folge wird die heimische Wirtschaft heuer um 0,4% expandieren. 2013 sollte sich der Anstieg auf 1,4% verst\u00e4rken. Die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt d\u00fcrfte in beiden Jahren schwieriger werden.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 85<\\\/p><p>SP  - 223<\\\/p><p>EP  - 236<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Euro Area in Temporary Recession. 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