{"id":115914,"date":"2024-01-22T19:49:10","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T18:49:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/115914\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T04:34:26","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T03:34:26","slug":"verhaltener-konjunkturaufschwung-nach-wachstumsdelle-2012-mittelfristige-prognose-der-oesterreichischen-wirtschaft-bis-2016-2","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/115914\/","title":{"rendered":"Slow Economic Upturn Following Growth Setback in 2012. Medium-term Forecast of the Austrian Economy until 2016"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-115914","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"During the forecast period 2012-2016 growth will be weaker than in the recent past. On average real GDP is expected to increase by 1.6 percent per year. Thus, the Austrian economy will expand at a slower pace than on average during the years preceding the financial and economic crisis. The cyclical slowdown already became apparent during the second half of 2011 and will continue in 2012. The expansion is not expected to regain momentum and will close the output gap in 2014. Between 2011 and 2016 trend output of the Austrian economy will grow by 1.6 percent, which is \u00bd percentage point below the average growth rate of the five years preceding the financial crisis.","onlinedate":"2012-01-17 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20120101","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":342744,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"85","monthly_report_pages":"51-62","monthly_report_pages_sort":"51","issue":"1","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3567,3641,3792,3899],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3567,\"personName\":\"Stefan Ederer\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3641,\"personName\":\"Serguei Kaniovski\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3792,\"personName\":\"Hans Pitlik\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3899,\"personName\":\"Thomas Url\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Ederer, S.<\\\/span><span>, Kaniovski, S.<\\\/span><span>, Pitlik, H.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Url, T.<\\\/span> (2012). <span>Verhaltener Konjunkturaufschwung nach Wachstumsdelle 2012. Mittelfristige Prognose der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2016<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>85<\\\/em>(1), 51-62. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/43376\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/43376<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Ederer S<\\\/span><span>, Kaniovski S<\\\/span><span>, Pitlik H<\\\/span><span>, Url T<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Verhaltener Konjunkturaufschwung nach Wachstumsdelle 2012. Mittelfristige Prognose der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2016<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2012 Jan;85(1):51-62.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{688b3d78d83e42fca98a24282d4febf1,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Verhaltener Konjunkturaufschwung nach Wachstumsdelle 2012. Mittelfristige Prognose der {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2016\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Wirtschaft wird erst ab 2014 wieder merklich an Dynamik gewinnen. Im Durchschnitt des Prognosezeitraumes 2012\\\/2016 nimmt das BIP j{\\\\\\\"a}hrlich real um 1,6\\\\% zu. Die Ausfuhr wird um 5,5\\\\% p. a. expandieren, die Importe hingegen um nur 5,1\\\\%. Die Inflationsrate betr{\\\\\\\"a}gt im Durchschnitt der Jahre 2012\\\/2016 2,1\\\\%. Trotz der Zunahme der Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigung bleibt die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt angespannt, da auch das Arbeitskr{\\\\\\\"a}fteangebot w{\\\\\\\"a}chst. Mit 7,3\\\\% wird die Arbeitslosenquote im Prognosezeitraum deutlich h{\\\\\\\"o}her sein als zuvor. Ma{\\\\ss}volle und nachhaltig wirksame Konsolidierungs- und Reformma{\\\\ss}nahmen im {\\\\\\\"o}ffentlichen Bereich werden die Konjunktur mittelfristig nicht allzu stark d{\\\\\\\"a}mpfen.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Prognose {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich Wirtschaftswachstum Budgetdefizit Arbeitslosenquote\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Stefan Ederer and Serguei Kaniovski and Hans Pitlik and Thomas Url\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Mittelfristige Prognose: {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2012\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jan,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"85\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"51--62\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Verhaltener Konjunkturaufschwung nach Wachstumsdelle 2012. Mittelfristige Prognose der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft bis 2016<\\\/p><p>AU  - Ederer, Stefan<\\\/p><p>AU  - Kaniovski, Serguei<\\\/p><p>AU  - Pitlik, Hans<\\\/p><p>AU  - Url, Thomas<\\\/p><p>N1  - Mittelfristige Prognose: \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2012\\\/1<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2012\\\/1<\\\/p><p>N2  - Die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft wird erst ab 2014 wieder merklich an Dynamik gewinnen. Im Durchschnitt des Prognosezeitraumes 2012\\\/2016 nimmt das BIP j\u00e4hrlich real um 1,6% zu. Die Ausfuhr wird um 5,5% p. a. expandieren, die Importe hingegen um nur 5,1%. Die Inflationsrate betr\u00e4gt im Durchschnitt der Jahre 2012\\\/2016 2,1%. Trotz der Zunahme der Besch\u00e4ftigung bleibt die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt angespannt, da auch das Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebot w\u00e4chst. Mit 7,3% wird die Arbeitslosenquote im Prognosezeitraum deutlich h\u00f6her sein als zuvor. Ma\u00dfvolle und nachhaltig wirksame Konsolidierungs- und Reformma\u00dfnahmen im \u00f6ffentlichen Bereich werden die Konjunktur mittelfristig nicht allzu stark d\u00e4mpfen.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft wird erst ab 2014 wieder merklich an Dynamik gewinnen. Im Durchschnitt des Prognosezeitraumes 2012\\\/2016 nimmt das BIP j\u00e4hrlich real um 1,6% zu. Die Ausfuhr wird um 5,5% p. a. expandieren, die Importe hingegen um nur 5,1%. Die Inflationsrate betr\u00e4gt im Durchschnitt der Jahre 2012\\\/2016 2,1%. Trotz der Zunahme der Besch\u00e4ftigung bleibt die Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt angespannt, da auch das Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebot w\u00e4chst. Mit 7,3% wird die Arbeitslosenquote im Prognosezeitraum deutlich h\u00f6her sein als zuvor. Ma\u00dfvolle und nachhaltig wirksame Konsolidierungs- und Reformma\u00dfnahmen im \u00f6ffentlichen Bereich werden die Konjunktur mittelfristig nicht allzu stark d\u00e4mpfen.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Prognose \u00d6sterreich Wirtschaftswachstum Budgetdefizit Arbeitslosenquote<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 85<\\\/p><p>SP  - 51<\\\/p><p>EP  - 62<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Slow Economic Upturn Following Growth Setback in 2012. 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