{"id":114880,"date":"2024-01-22T19:05:05","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T18:05:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/114880\/"},"modified":"2024-11-14T13:14:28","modified_gmt":"2024-11-14T12:14:28","slug":"aufschwung-setzt-sich-fort-risiken-bleiben-bestehen-prognose-fuer-2011-und-2012","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/","title":{"rendered":"Cyclical Upturn Set to Continue, With Risks Persisting. Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-114880","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The export-driven upswing of economic activity in Austria is expected to continue. Nevertheless, the pace of growth will decelerate markedly in the first half of 2011 as global trade and the expansion in Asia, Latin America and the USA lose momentum; in addition, the planned fiscal consolidation in the euro area and weak competitiveness of the southern European economies will weigh on aggregate demand. Whereas business activity should rebound worldwide in the latter part of 2011 and into 2012, it may remain subdued in the euro area. For Austria, WIFO expects real GDP to expand by 2.2 percent in 2011 and 2.0 percent in 2012. Main driver of demand and output growth are exports, stimulating notably manufacturing and, albeit gradually, business fixed investment. The cyclical revival will help correcting the imbalances on the labour market and in public finances. Yet, at barely below 7 percent of the dependent labour force, unemployment will remain high. The government deficit is likely to narrow to 3.1 percent and 2.7 percent of GDP in 2011 and 2012, respectively.","onlinedate":"2011-01-20 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20110101","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":414978,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"84","monthly_report_pages":"3-16","monthly_report_pages_sort":"3","issue":"1","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3567],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3567,\"personName\":\"Stefan Ederer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Ederer, S.<\\\/span> (2011). <span>Aufschwung setzt sich fort, Risiken bleiben bestehen. Prognose f\u00fcr 2011 und 2012<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>84<\\\/em>(1), 3-16. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/41146\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/41146<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Ederer S<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Aufschwung setzt sich fort, Risiken bleiben bestehen. Prognose f\u00fcr 2011 und 2012<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2011 Jan;84(1):3-16.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{212107aa03ab474cbb34232717e20669,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Aufschwung setzt sich fort, Risiken bleiben bestehen. Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2011 und 2012\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Der Aufschwung der {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichischen Wirtschaft h{\\\\\\\"a}lt an. Exporte und Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}tererzeugung profitieren von der kr{\\\\\\\"a}ftigen internationalen Nachfrage. Auf die Investitionen greift die Entwicklung aber nur z{\\\\\\\"o}gerlich {\\\\\\\"u}ber. Die Konjunkturbelebung tr{\\\\\\\"a}gt zu einer Verbesserung der Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und in den {\\\\\\\"o}ffentlichen Haushalten bei. Die Arbeitslosenquote d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte jedoch hoch bleiben; das Budgetdefizit verbessert sich merklich. F{\\\\\\\"u}r 2011 prognostiziert das WIFO ein Wirtschaftswachstum von 2,2\\\\% und f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2012 von 2,0\\\\%.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunkturprognose {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Stefan Ederer\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2011\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jan,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"84\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"3--16\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Aufschwung setzt sich fort, Risiken bleiben bestehen. Prognose f\u00fcr 2011 und 2012<\\\/p><p>AU  - Ederer, Stefan<\\\/p><p>N1  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2011\\\/1<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2011\\\/1<\\\/p><p>N2  - Der Aufschwung der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft h\u00e4lt an. Exporte und Sachg\u00fctererzeugung profitieren von der kr\u00e4ftigen internationalen Nachfrage. Auf die Investitionen greift die Entwicklung aber nur z\u00f6gerlich \u00fcber. Die Konjunkturbelebung tr\u00e4gt zu einer Verbesserung der Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und in den \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalten bei. Die Arbeitslosenquote d\u00fcrfte jedoch hoch bleiben; das Budgetdefizit verbessert sich merklich. F\u00fcr 2011 prognostiziert das WIFO ein Wirtschaftswachstum von 2,2% und f\u00fcr 2012 von 2,0%.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Der Aufschwung der \u00f6sterreichischen Wirtschaft h\u00e4lt an. Exporte und Sachg\u00fctererzeugung profitieren von der kr\u00e4ftigen internationalen Nachfrage. Auf die Investitionen greift die Entwicklung aber nur z\u00f6gerlich \u00fcber. Die Konjunkturbelebung tr\u00e4gt zu einer Verbesserung der Lage auf dem Arbeitsmarkt und in den \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalten bei. Die Arbeitslosenquote d\u00fcrfte jedoch hoch bleiben; das Budgetdefizit verbessert sich merklich. F\u00fcr 2011 prognostiziert das WIFO ein Wirtschaftswachstum von 2,2% und f\u00fcr 2012 von 2,0%.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 84<\\\/p><p>SP  - 3<\\\/p><p>EP  - 16<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Cyclical Upturn Set to Continue, With Risks Persisting. Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012 - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Cyclical Upturn Set to Continue, With Risks Persisting. Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-14T12:14:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/114880\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/114880\\\/\",\"name\":\"Cyclical Upturn Set to Continue, With Risks Persisting. Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012 - WIFO\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-01-22T18:05:05+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-11-14T12:14:28+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/114880\\\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/114880\\\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/114880\\\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Startseite\",\"item\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Cyclical Upturn Set to Continue, With Risks Persisting. Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\"},\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#organization\",\"name\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"alternateName\":\"WIFO\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/05\\\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg\",\"width\":2000,\"height\":429,\"caption\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/logo\\\/image\\\/\"},\"sameAs\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/www.facebook.com\\\/WIFOat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/x.com\\\/WIFOat\",\"https:\\\/\\\/linkedin.com\\\/company\\\/wifoat\\\/\",\"https:\\\/\\\/www.youtube.com\\\/@WIFO_at\"],\"description\":\"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.\",\"email\":\"office@wifo.ac.at\",\"telephone\":\"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0\",\"legalName\":\"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung\",\"foundingDate\":\"1927-01-02\",\"numberOfEmployees\":{\"@type\":\"QuantitativeValue\",\"minValue\":\"51\",\"maxValue\":\"200\"},\"publishingPrinciples\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/mission-und-strategie\\\/\",\"ownershipFundingInfo\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/organisation\\\/\",\"actionableFeedbackPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/aktuelles\\\/presse\\\/\",\"correctionsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/kontakt\\\/\",\"ethicsPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\\\/\",\"diversityPolicy\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\",\"diversityStaffingReport\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/institut\\\/gleichstellung\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO Premium plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Cyclical Upturn Set to Continue, With Risks Persisting. Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012 - WIFO","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Cyclical Upturn Set to Continue, With Risks Persisting. Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012","og_url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/","og_site_name":"WIFO","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","article_modified_time":"2024-11-14T12:14:28+00:00","og_image":[{"width":1920,"height":1280,"url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg","type":"image\/jpeg"}],"twitter_card":"summary_large_image","twitter_site":"@WIFOat","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/","name":"Cyclical Upturn Set to Continue, With Risks Persisting. Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012 - WIFO","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-01-22T18:05:05+00:00","dateModified":"2024-11-14T12:14:28+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/114880\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Startseite","item":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Cyclical Upturn Set to Continue, With Risks Persisting. Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization"},"alternateName":"WIFO","potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#organization","name":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","alternateName":"WIFO","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO_kurz_rechts-2-1920x412.jpg","width":2000,"height":429,"caption":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"},"sameAs":["https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/","https:\/\/x.com\/WIFOat","https:\/\/linkedin.com\/company\/wifoat\/","https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/@WIFO_at"],"description":"Das WIFO, 1927 von Friedrich August von Hayek und Ludwig von Mises zur Konjunkturanalyse gegr\u00fcndet, ist heute das f\u00fchrende Institut f\u00fcr angewandte empirische Wirtschaftsforschung in \u00d6sterreich mit starkem Engagement auf europ\u00e4ischer Ebene.","email":"office@wifo.ac.at","telephone":"+43 1 798 26 01 \u2013 0","legalName":"\u00d6sterreichisches Institut f\u00fcr Wirtschaftsforschung","foundingDate":"1927-01-02","numberOfEmployees":{"@type":"QuantitativeValue","minValue":"51","maxValue":"200"},"publishingPrinciples":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/mission-und-strategie\/","ownershipFundingInfo":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/organisation\/","actionableFeedbackPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/aktuelles\/presse\/","correctionsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/kontakt\/","ethicsPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/evidenzbasierung-transparenz-und-unabhaengigkeit\/","diversityPolicy":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/","diversityStaffingReport":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/institut\/gleichstellung\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/114880","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/publication"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/114880\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":340210,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication\/114880\/revisions\/340210"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/person\/3567"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/research_group\/3500"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/publication_type\/44312"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=114880"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}