{"id":113304,"date":"2024-01-22T18:30:49","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T17:30:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/113304\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T04:12:07","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T03:12:07","slug":"belebung-der-weltwirtschaft-anhaltende-risken-fuer-die-konjunktur-2","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/113304\/","title":{"rendered":"The World Economy is Recovering, but Cyclical Risks Persist"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-113304","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"After the deepest decline in decades world trade has recovered since the early summer of 2009. However, most recently its volume has still been about one eighth below the peak of April 2008. The strong impulses for the world economy initially originate from the emerging economies in Asia. China is implementing an extensive stimulus programme to boost investment into infrastructure and private consumption demand. Its effects, which are supported by improved capital market conditions, can be felt in the whole area. The Latin American emerging economies and the oil exporting countries benefit from a rebound of commodity prices.","onlinedate":"2009-11-19 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20091101","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":335322,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"82","monthly_report_pages":"829-843","monthly_report_pages_sort":"829","issue":"11","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3872,3567,4043,3893],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3872,\"personName\":\"Sandra Bilek-Steindl\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3567,\"personName\":\"Stefan Ederer\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":4043,\"personName\":\"Markus Marterbauer\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3893,\"personName\":\"Ewald Walterskirchen\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Bilek-Steindl, S.<\\\/span><span>, Ederer, S.<\\\/span><span>, Marterbauer, M.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Walterskirchen, E.<\\\/span> (2009). <span>Belebung der Weltwirtschaft, anhaltende Risken f\u00fcr die Konjunktur<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>82<\\\/em>(11), 829-843. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/37543\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/37543<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Bilek-Steindl S<\\\/span><span>, Ederer S<\\\/span><span>, Marterbauer M<\\\/span><span>, Walterskirchen E<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Belebung der Weltwirtschaft, anhaltende Risken f\u00fcr die Konjunktur<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2009 Nov;82(11):829-843.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{489b1d20b6914273bb5ae85a009b65e1,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Belebung der Weltwirtschaft, anhaltende Risken f{\\\\\\\"u}r die Konjunktur\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Nach dem tiefen Einbruch von Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hjahr 2008 bis Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hsommer 2009 stabilisiert sich die Weltwirtschaft auf niedrigem Niveau. Impulse gehen vor allem von der Erholung in den asiatischen Schwellenl{\\\\\\\"a}ndern und von der expansiven Geld- und Budgetpolitik in den Industriel{\\\\\\\"a}ndern aus. Der R{\\\\\\\"u}ckgang des Bruttoinlandsproduktes zieht einen markanten Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit und der Defizite in den {\\\\\\\"o}ffentlichen Haushalten nach sich. Die Erholung der Wirtschaft d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte in den Industriel{\\\\\\\"a}ndern wegen der Investitionszur{\\\\\\\"u}ckhaltung der Unternehmen und der steigenden Sparneigung der privaten Haushalte sehr verhalten ausfallen. Weiterhin bestehen hohe Risken, vor allem im Finanzsektor. F{\\\\\\\"u}r den Euro-Raum k{\\\\\\\"o}nnte zudem die Abwertungstendenz des Dollars bremsend wirken.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunktur Weltwirtschaft Prognose USA Deutschland China EU Indien\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Sandra Bilek-Steindl and Stefan Ederer and Markus Marterbauer and Ewald Walterskirchen\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Weltwirtschaft\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2009\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = nov,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"82\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"829--843\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Belebung der Weltwirtschaft, anhaltende Risken f\u00fcr die Konjunktur<\\\/p><p>AU  - Bilek-Steindl, Sandra<\\\/p><p>AU  - Ederer, Stefan<\\\/p><p>AU  - Marterbauer, Markus<\\\/p><p>AU  - Walterskirchen, Ewald<\\\/p><p>N1  - Weltwirtschaft<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2009\\\/11<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2009\\\/11<\\\/p><p>N2  - Nach dem tiefen Einbruch von Fr\u00fchjahr 2008 bis Fr\u00fchsommer 2009 stabilisiert sich die Weltwirtschaft auf niedrigem Niveau. Impulse gehen vor allem von der Erholung in den asiatischen Schwellenl\u00e4ndern und von der expansiven Geld- und Budgetpolitik in den Industriel\u00e4ndern aus. Der R\u00fcckgang des Bruttoinlandsproduktes zieht einen markanten Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit und der Defizite in den \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalten nach sich. Die Erholung der Wirtschaft d\u00fcrfte in den Industriel\u00e4ndern wegen der Investitionszur\u00fcckhaltung der Unternehmen und der steigenden Sparneigung der privaten Haushalte sehr verhalten ausfallen. Weiterhin bestehen hohe Risken, vor allem im Finanzsektor. F\u00fcr den Euro-Raum k\u00f6nnte zudem die Abwertungstendenz des Dollars bremsend wirken.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Nach dem tiefen Einbruch von Fr\u00fchjahr 2008 bis Fr\u00fchsommer 2009 stabilisiert sich die Weltwirtschaft auf niedrigem Niveau. Impulse gehen vor allem von der Erholung in den asiatischen Schwellenl\u00e4ndern und von der expansiven Geld- und Budgetpolitik in den Industriel\u00e4ndern aus. Der R\u00fcckgang des Bruttoinlandsproduktes zieht einen markanten Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit und der Defizite in den \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalten nach sich. Die Erholung der Wirtschaft d\u00fcrfte in den Industriel\u00e4ndern wegen der Investitionszur\u00fcckhaltung der Unternehmen und der steigenden Sparneigung der privaten Haushalte sehr verhalten ausfallen. Weiterhin bestehen hohe Risken, vor allem im Finanzsektor. F\u00fcr den Euro-Raum k\u00f6nnte zudem die Abwertungstendenz des Dollars bremsend wirken.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunktur Weltwirtschaft Prognose USA Deutschland China EU Indien<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 82<\\\/p><p>SP  - 829<\\\/p><p>EP  - 843<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The World Economy is Recovering, but Cyclical Risks Persist - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/113304\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The World Economy is Recovering, but Cyclical Risks Persist\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/113304\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-07T03:12:07+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/113304\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/113304\\\/\",\"name\":\"The World Economy is Recovering, but Cyclical Risks Persist - 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