{"id":112886,"date":"2024-01-22T17:47:19","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T16:47:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/112886\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T04:08:20","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T03:08:20","slug":"massnahmen-zur-konjunkturstabilisierung-zeigen-erste-wirkung-prognose-fuer-2009-und-2010","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/112886\/","title":{"rendered":"Measures of Cyclical Stabilisation Showing Early Effects. Economic Outlook for 2009 and 2010"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-112886","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"In the wake of the international economic crisis, Austrian exports have fallen precipitously year-on-year since early 2009. Yet, the fiscal counter-action taken in the industrialised countries is showing early positive effects. Not only in Austria, but in the entire euro area and the USA, business surveys suggest a stabilisation of demand and output as from the middle of this year. Nevertheless, activity in Austria will once more decline in the second quarter as compared with the previous period. The cyclical pattern is thus broadly in line with the one underlying the previous WIFO forecast of last spring. However, since results for the first quarter turned out weaker than expected, WIFO is taking down its projection for GDP for the whole of 2009 to \u20133.4 percent. The forecast of a stabilisation in 2010 with a growth rate of 0.5 percent is being maintained.","onlinedate":"2009-07-14 02:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20090701","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":334007,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"82","monthly_report_pages":"463-475","monthly_report_pages_sort":"463","issue":"7","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[3837],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3837,\"personName\":\"Marcus Scheiblecker\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Scheiblecker, M.<\\\/span> (2009). <span>Ma\u00dfnahmen zur Konjunkturstabilisierung zeigen erste Wirkung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2009 und 2010<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>82<\\\/em>(7), 463-475. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/36261\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/36261<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Scheiblecker M<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Ma\u00dfnahmen zur Konjunkturstabilisierung zeigen erste Wirkung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2009 und 2010<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2009 Jul;82(7):463-475.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{090fb507f36a4fc28219f6934362428b,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Ma{\\\\ss}nahmen zur Konjunkturstabilisierung zeigen erste Wirkung. Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2009 und 2010\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Der weltweite Konjunktureinbruch schl{\\\\\\\"a}gt sich deutlich in der heimischen Wirtschaftsentwicklung nieder. Aufgrund des massiven R{\\\\\\\"u}ckgangs von Export und Investitionen wird das {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische BIP 2009 real um 3,4\\\\% schrumpfen. Lediglich die Konsumnachfrage wirkt stabilisierend. Die internationalen Ma{\\\\ss}nahmen zur Konjunkturstabilisierung zeigen erste Wirkungen. Im Euro-Raum sollte die Wirtschaft ab der Jahresmitte in eine Stagnationsphase eintreten. Dies gilt auch f{\\\\\\\"u}r die heimische Wirtschaft; im Jahr 2010 sollte ein geringf{\\\\\\\"u}giges Wachstum von 0,5\\\\% m{\\\\\\\"o}glich sein. Die Belastung des Arbeitsmarktes wird auch noch im kommenden Jahr sp{\\\\\\\"u}rbar sein, die Besch{\\\\\\\"a}ftigung wird sich bei gleichzeitigem Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit anhaltend verringern.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Konjunkturprognose {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Marcus Scheiblecker\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Konjunkturprognose\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2009\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = jul,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"82\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"463--475\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Ma\u00dfnahmen zur Konjunkturstabilisierung zeigen erste Wirkung. Prognose f\u00fcr 2009 und 2010<\\\/p><p>AU  - Scheiblecker, Marcus<\\\/p><p>N1  - Konjunkturprognose<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2009\\\/7<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2009\\\/7<\\\/p><p>N2  - Der weltweite Konjunktureinbruch schl\u00e4gt sich deutlich in der heimischen Wirtschaftsentwicklung nieder. Aufgrund des massiven R\u00fcckgangs von Export und Investitionen wird das \u00f6sterreichische BIP 2009 real um 3,4% schrumpfen. Lediglich die Konsumnachfrage wirkt stabilisierend. Die internationalen Ma\u00dfnahmen zur Konjunkturstabilisierung zeigen erste Wirkungen. Im Euro-Raum sollte die Wirtschaft ab der Jahresmitte in eine Stagnationsphase eintreten. Dies gilt auch f\u00fcr die heimische Wirtschaft; im Jahr 2010 sollte ein geringf\u00fcgiges Wachstum von 0,5% m\u00f6glich sein. Die Belastung des Arbeitsmarktes wird auch noch im kommenden Jahr sp\u00fcrbar sein, die Besch\u00e4ftigung wird sich bei gleichzeitigem Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit anhaltend verringern.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Der weltweite Konjunktureinbruch schl\u00e4gt sich deutlich in der heimischen Wirtschaftsentwicklung nieder. Aufgrund des massiven R\u00fcckgangs von Export und Investitionen wird das \u00f6sterreichische BIP 2009 real um 3,4% schrumpfen. Lediglich die Konsumnachfrage wirkt stabilisierend. Die internationalen Ma\u00dfnahmen zur Konjunkturstabilisierung zeigen erste Wirkungen. Im Euro-Raum sollte die Wirtschaft ab der Jahresmitte in eine Stagnationsphase eintreten. Dies gilt auch f\u00fcr die heimische Wirtschaft; im Jahr 2010 sollte ein geringf\u00fcgiges Wachstum von 0,5% m\u00f6glich sein. Die Belastung des Arbeitsmarktes wird auch noch im kommenden Jahr sp\u00fcrbar sein, die Besch\u00e4ftigung wird sich bei gleichzeitigem Anstieg der Arbeitslosigkeit anhaltend verringern.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 82<\\\/p><p>SP  - 463<\\\/p><p>EP  - 475<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Measures of Cyclical Stabilisation Showing Early Effects. 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