{"id":112342,"date":"2024-01-22T17:34:31","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T16:34:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/112342\/"},"modified":"2024-11-18T13:36:44","modified_gmt":"2024-11-18T12:36:44","slug":"nachhaltige-daempfung-der-weltwirtschaftsdynamik-als-folge-der-finanzkrise-mittelfristige-prognose-der-weltwirtschaft-bis-2013","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/112342\/","title":{"rendered":"Financial Crisis Causes Prolonged Global Economic Downturn. Medium-term Forecast of the World Economy until 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-112342","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"The forecast is based on the following assumptions about the evolution of important variables until 2013: As a consequence of the depreciation of their financial wealth and real property the savings ratio of the US households will increase from 2 percent in 2008 to 6 percent in 2013. The key interest rates of the euro and the US dollar will be roughly 1 percent and will thus be kept at an extremely low level. The exchange rate of the euro will decline to 1.18 $ by 2013. The oil price will recover and rise to 73 $ per barrel by 2013. The decline of share and house prices will come to a halt in the course of 2009.","onlinedate":"2009-01-19 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20090101","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Weltwirtschaft Finanzkrise USA Japan Deutschland Mittelfristige Prognose\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":416496,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"82","monthly_report_pages":"37-48","monthly_report_pages_sort":"37","issue":"1","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3491],"collaboration":"","persons":[3841],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3841,\"personName\":\"Stephan Schulmeister\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Financial Crisis Causes Prolonged Global Economic Downturn. 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