{"id":108186,"date":"2024-01-22T15:27:45","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T14:27:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/108186\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T03:25:39","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T02:25:39","slug":"konjunkturerholung-droht-ins-stocken-zu-geraten-prognose-fuer-2004-und-2005","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/108186\/","title":{"rendered":"Konjunkturerholung droht ins Stocken zu geraten. Prognose f\u00fcr 2004 und 2005"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-108186","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Das Wachstum des BIP wird heuer real 1,5% erreichen und damit h\u00f6her sein als im Jahr 2003 (+0,7%). Von Mitte bis Ende 2003 verbesserte sich das Gesch\u00e4ftsklima in der konjunkturreagiblen Sachg\u00fctererzeugung kontinuierlich, allerdings beurteilen die Unternehmen seit Jahresbeginn 2004 die Produktionsaussichten wieder zur\u00fcckhaltender. Das WIFO geht deshalb von einer nur zaghaft vorankommenden Erholung der Industriekonjunktur aus. Zwar gehen von der Weltwirtschaft deutlich expansive Impulse aus, wegen der St\u00e4rke des Euro und der fehlenden Binnennachfrage werden diese jedoch nur eingeschr\u00e4nkt auf den Euro-Raum \u00fcbertragen. In \u00d6sterreich erweist sich die Binnennachfrage als stabilisierender Faktor der Konjunktur. Im Jahr 2004 wird die Bauwirtschaft kr\u00e4ftig wachsen, und 2005 k\u00f6nnte der private Konsum erstmals seit vier Jahren rascher als im langfristigen Durchschnitt expandieren. Die Senkung der Lohn- und Einkommensteuer erh\u00f6ht die verf\u00fcgbaren Einkommen merklich. Der leichte Anstieg der Zahl der aktiv Besch\u00e4ftigten reicht angesichts der markanten Ausweitung des Arbeitskr\u00e4fteangebotes nicht aus, um die Zahl der Arbeitslosen zu stabilisieren. Sie wird im Jahresdurchschnitt 2005 fast 250.000 betragen.","onlinedate":"2004-04-19 02:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20040401","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Konjunkturprognose \u00d6sterreich\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":318371,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"77","monthly_report_pages":"259-270","monthly_report_pages_sort":"259","issue":"4","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[4043],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":4043,\"personName\":\"Markus Marterbauer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.8 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Konjunkturerholung droht ins Stocken zu geraten. 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