{"id":105910,"date":"2024-01-22T14:32:58","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T13:32:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/105910\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T03:08:01","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T02:08:01","slug":"zurueckhaltende-investitionsplaene-der-unternehmen-fuer-2002-ergebnisse-des-wifo-investitionstests-vom-herbst-2001-2","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/105910\/","title":{"rendered":"Cautious Investment Plans for 2002. Results of the WIFO Autumn 2001 Investment Survey"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-105910","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"According to results from the recent WIFO investment survey, which samples some 800 firms of the manufacturing sector, the construction sector and the energy sector as well as public transport enterprises and public utilities, capital formation will be weak in 2002. Companies plan to invest \u20ac 10.2 billion, which amounts to a slight decrease of 0.1 percent. The WIFO business cycle forecast of December 2001 anticipates investment in machinery and equipment by the whole economy to rise by only 0.3 percent in volume in 2002. Due to weak foreign demand, growth of the manufacturing sector was modest in 2001. Production increased by just 1.8 percent in real terms. The companies of our sample report an aggregate 3.3 percent rise in sales and expect a further gain of 3.4 percent for 2002, compared to 9.9 percent in 2000. However, the latest business survey of January 2002 suggests no further deterioration of the industrial cycle. Firms see their own business situation slightly more positive than they did at the end of 2001. Nevertheless, the percentage of firms expressing optimistic expectations remains far below the long-term average. In other EU countries, the industrial business climate is still weak. The relevant confidence indicator for the whole area, which has been falling for 18 months, decreased by 2 points in November 2001, after \u20134 to \u20135 points in October. After a jump in industrial investment in 2000 by +16 percent in value terms according to the latest survey, industrial firms envisage increasing their capital spending by a nominal 9.3 percent (to a level of \u20ac 7.47 billion) in 2001, corresponding to a price-adjusted gain of 9.1 percent. Investment activity is mainly driven by the motor vehicles and investment goods industries which plan for a nominal increase of 48.8 percent and 46.7 percent, respectively. Compared to the last spring survey of 2001, firms in the investment goods industries have made upward revisions of their plans, due to a number of large-scale projects. Investment may have also risen in the durable consumer goods and the food products industries. The construction industry experienced a remarkable output decline by 3 percent in 2001. As a consequence of the persistent weakness in construction demand, investment in machinery and equipment has fallen by an estimated 5.0 percent following a 4.6 percent decrease in 2000. With construction activity set to remain sluggish in 2002, investment in machinery and equipment is expected to drop by another 6.0 percent. Following up on the trend of the past years, the electricity industry heavily reduced investment spending in 2001, by 24.8 percent to a total of \u20ac 548 million (preliminary figure). A modest rise (by 8.6 percent to a level of \u20ac 595 million) is expected for 2002. Transport firms and public utilities plan to cut their investments by 18.0 percent in 2002.","onlinedate":"2002-02-21 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20020201","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":313608,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"75","monthly_report_pages":"79-89","monthly_report_pages_sort":"79","issue":"2","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2002-02-21 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3491,3481],"collaboration":"","persons":[4127,3843,3911],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":4127,\"personName\":\"Robert Wieser\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3843,\"personName\":\"Gerhard Schwarz\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3911,\"personName\":\"Margarete Czerny\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Wieser, R.<\\\/span><span>, Schwarz, G.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Czerny, M.<\\\/span> (2002). <span>Zur\u00fcckhaltende Investitionspl\u00e4ne der Unternehmen f\u00fcr 2002. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 2001<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>75<\\\/em>(2), 79-89. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/21329\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/21329<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Wieser R<\\\/span><span>, Schwarz G<\\\/span><span>, Czerny M<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Zur\u00fcckhaltende Investitionspl\u00e4ne der Unternehmen f\u00fcr 2002. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 2001<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2002 Feb;75(2):79-89.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{51160dbd43b14e9c999011ad12aa370b,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Zur{\\\\\\\"u}ckhaltende Investitionspl{\\\\\\\"a}ne der Unternehmen f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2002. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 2001\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"F{\\\\\\\"u}r die im WIFO-Investitionstest vom Herbst 2001 erfassten Bereiche Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}tererzeugung, Bauwirtschaft, Elektrizit{\\\\\\\"a}tsversorgung, Verkehrs- und Versorgungsbetriebe sowie Sondergesellschaften ergibt sich eine Zunahme des Investitionsvolumens im Jahr 2001 um 4,5\\\\%, nach +10,2\\\\% im Jahr 2000. Die Unternehmen der Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}tererzeugung haben ihre Investitionspl{\\\\\\\"a}ne im Vergleich zum Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hjahrstest zum Teil kr{\\\\\\\"a}ftig nach oben revidiert. Insbesondere die Investitionsg{\\\\\\\"u}terindustrie d{\\\\\\\"u}rfte erheblich mehr investiert haben, als im Fr{\\\\\\\"u}hjahr 2001 prognostiziert wurde. Die aktuellen Pl{\\\\\\\"a}ne gehen allerdings von einer leichten Zur{\\\\\\\"u}cknahme der Investitionen der Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}terproduzenten im Jahr 2002 aus. Einschlie{\\\\ss}lich der in der Umfrage nicht erfassten Bereiche (wie Dienstleistungen, {\\\\\\\"o}ffentlicher Sektor) d{\\\\\\\"u}rften die Bruttoanlageinvestitionen 2002 nach der j{\\\\\\\"u}ngsten WIFO-Prognose real um 0,3\\\\% zunehmen (2001 \u20130,5\\\\%).\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Investitionstest, Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}tererzeugung, Bauwirtschaft, Elektrizit{\\\\\\\"a}tswirtschaft, Versorgungssektor; Zur{\\\\\\\"u}ckhaltende Investitionspl{\\\\\\\"a}ne der Unternehmen f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2002. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 2001; Cautious Investment Plans for 2002. Results \\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Robert Wieser and Gerhard Schwarz and Margarete Czerny\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Investitionstest\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2002\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = feb,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"75\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"79--89\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Zur\u00fcckhaltende Investitionspl\u00e4ne der Unternehmen f\u00fcr 2002. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 2001<\\\/p><p>AU  - Wieser, Robert<\\\/p><p>AU  - Schwarz, Gerhard<\\\/p><p>AU  - Czerny, Margarete<\\\/p><p>N1  - Investitionstest<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2002\\\/2<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2002\\\/2<\\\/p><p>N2  - F\u00fcr die im WIFO-Investitionstest vom Herbst 2001 erfassten Bereiche Sachg\u00fctererzeugung, Bauwirtschaft, Elektrizit\u00e4tsversorgung, Verkehrs- und Versorgungsbetriebe sowie Sondergesellschaften ergibt sich eine Zunahme des Investitionsvolumens im Jahr 2001 um 4,5%, nach +10,2% im Jahr 2000. Die Unternehmen der Sachg\u00fctererzeugung haben ihre Investitionspl\u00e4ne im Vergleich zum Fr\u00fchjahrstest zum Teil kr\u00e4ftig nach oben revidiert. Insbesondere die Investitionsg\u00fcterindustrie d\u00fcrfte erheblich mehr investiert haben, als im Fr\u00fchjahr 2001 prognostiziert wurde. Die aktuellen Pl\u00e4ne gehen allerdings von einer leichten Zur\u00fccknahme der Investitionen der Sachg\u00fcterproduzenten im Jahr 2002 aus. Einschlie\u00dflich der in der Umfrage nicht erfassten Bereiche (wie Dienstleistungen, \u00f6ffentlicher Sektor) d\u00fcrften die Bruttoanlageinvestitionen 2002 nach der j\u00fcngsten WIFO-Prognose real um 0,3% zunehmen (2001 \u20130,5%).<\\\/p><p>AB  - F\u00fcr die im WIFO-Investitionstest vom Herbst 2001 erfassten Bereiche Sachg\u00fctererzeugung, Bauwirtschaft, Elektrizit\u00e4tsversorgung, Verkehrs- und Versorgungsbetriebe sowie Sondergesellschaften ergibt sich eine Zunahme des Investitionsvolumens im Jahr 2001 um 4,5%, nach +10,2% im Jahr 2000. Die Unternehmen der Sachg\u00fctererzeugung haben ihre Investitionspl\u00e4ne im Vergleich zum Fr\u00fchjahrstest zum Teil kr\u00e4ftig nach oben revidiert. Insbesondere die Investitionsg\u00fcterindustrie d\u00fcrfte erheblich mehr investiert haben, als im Fr\u00fchjahr 2001 prognostiziert wurde. Die aktuellen Pl\u00e4ne gehen allerdings von einer leichten Zur\u00fccknahme der Investitionen der Sachg\u00fcterproduzenten im Jahr 2002 aus. Einschlie\u00dflich der in der Umfrage nicht erfassten Bereiche (wie Dienstleistungen, \u00f6ffentlicher Sektor) d\u00fcrften die Bruttoanlageinvestitionen 2002 nach der j\u00fcngsten WIFO-Prognose real um 0,3% zunehmen (2001 \u20130,5%).<\\\/p><p>KW  - Investitionstest<\\\/p><p>KW  -  Sachg\u00fctererzeugung<\\\/p><p>KW  -  Bauwirtschaft<\\\/p><p>KW  -  Elektrizit\u00e4tswirtschaft<\\\/p><p>KW  -  Versorgungssektor; Zur\u00fcckhaltende Investitionspl\u00e4ne der Unternehmen f\u00fcr 2002. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 2001; Cautious Investment Plans for 2002. Results <\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 75<\\\/p><p>SP  - 79<\\\/p><p>EP  - 89<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Cautious Investment Plans for 2002. 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