{"id":105432,"date":"2024-01-22T14:23:09","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T13:23:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/105432\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T03:04:17","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T02:04:17","slug":"aus-wifo-studien-energieszenarien-bis-2020","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/105432\/","title":{"rendered":"Energy Scenarios up to 2020"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-105432","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"On the basis of its model of energy demand and conversion in Austria (DAEDALUS III), WIFO simulated three scenarios to establish a long-term forecast of the development of energy consumption and CO2 emissions. The baseline scenario assumes a continuation of current developments, while the Kyoto scenario reflects the effects of the Austrian strategy to counteract climate change. The sustainability scenario is based on the adoption of international approaches to implement socially compatible measures aimed at minimising energy consumption and accelerating technological progress. Under the \"baseline scenario\", the consumption of fuels, electricity and gas continues to increase. This development, combined with a rising volume of electricity generation by thermal power plants, results in an increase of CO2 emissions by about 3.2 million tons per year until 2010. The \"Kyoto scenario\" reflects the Austrian strategy of preventing climate change, which provides for an increase in energy efficiency and greater reliance on renewable sources of energy, the goal being to diminish the level of CO2 emissions by about 13 million tons against baseline by 2010. The \"sustainability scenario\" simulates the effects of a socially compatible reduction of energy services and an accelerated pace of innovation and technology diffusion. Until 2010, energy consumption and CO2 emissions decrease by more or less the same amounts as under the Kyoto scenario, but by 2020 CO2 emissions drop to 63 percent of the year-2000 level. Both the Kyoto scenario and the sustainability scenario are associated with substantial costs, as they require a diversion of resources, but GDP and employment are higher than in the baseline scenario.","onlinedate":"2001-10-22 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20011001","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"CO2-Emissionen\",\"Energieprognose\",\"Modellsimulation\",\"\u00d6sterreich; Aus WIFO-Studien: Energieszenarien bis 2020; Energy Scenarios up to 2020\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":312519,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"74","monthly_report_pages":"623-629","monthly_report_pages_sort":"623","issue":"10","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2001-10-22 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3655],"collaboration":"","persons":[3675],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3675,\"personName\":\"Kurt Kratena\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Kratena, K.<\\\/span> (2001). <span>Aus WIFO-Studien: Energieszenarien bis 2020<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>74<\\\/em>(10), 623-629. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/20613\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/20613<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Kratena K<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Aus WIFO-Studien: Energieszenarien bis 2020<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2001 Oct;74(10):623-629.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{9e0f13769f3e49669d66d6eb84801533,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Aus WIFO-Studien: Energieszenarien bis 2020\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"F{\\\\\\\"u}r die langfristige Prognose der Entwicklung von Energieverbrauch und CO2-Emissionen hat das WIFO mit seinem Modell der Energienachfrage und -umwandlung in {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich (DAEDALUS III) drei Szenarien simuliert: Das Baseline-Szenario schreibt die aktuelle Situation fort, w{\\\\\\\"a}hrend das Kyoto-Szenario die Effekte der {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichischen Klimastrategie abbildet. Dar{\\\\\\\"u}ber hinaus nimmt das Nachhaltigkeitsszenario internationale Ans{\\\\\\\"a}tze zur Realisierung sozial vertr{\\\\\\\"a}glicher Ma{\\\\ss}nahmen zur Verringerung des Energieeinsatzes und zur Forcierung des technischen Fortschritts auf.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"CO2-Emissionen, Energieprognose, Modellsimulation, {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich; Aus WIFO-Studien: Energieszenarien bis 2020; Energy Scenarios up to 2020, CO2-Emissionen, Energieprognose, Modellsimulation, {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich; Aus WIFO-Studien: Energieszenarien bis 2020; Energy Scenarios up to 2020\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Kurt Kratena\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Energieszenarien\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2001\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = oct,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"74\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"623--629\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Aus WIFO-Studien: Energieszenarien bis 2020<\\\/p><p>AU  - Kratena, Kurt<\\\/p><p>N1  - Energieszenarien<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2001\\\/10<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2001\\\/10<\\\/p><p>N2  - F\u00fcr die langfristige Prognose der Entwicklung von Energieverbrauch und CO2-Emissionen hat das WIFO mit seinem Modell der Energienachfrage und -umwandlung in \u00d6sterreich (DAEDALUS III) drei Szenarien simuliert: Das Baseline-Szenario schreibt die aktuelle Situation fort, w\u00e4hrend das Kyoto-Szenario die Effekte der \u00f6sterreichischen Klimastrategie abbildet. Dar\u00fcber hinaus nimmt das Nachhaltigkeitsszenario internationale Ans\u00e4tze zur Realisierung sozial vertr\u00e4glicher Ma\u00dfnahmen zur Verringerung des Energieeinsatzes und zur Forcierung des technischen Fortschritts auf.<\\\/p><p>AB  - F\u00fcr die langfristige Prognose der Entwicklung von Energieverbrauch und CO2-Emissionen hat das WIFO mit seinem Modell der Energienachfrage und -umwandlung in \u00d6sterreich (DAEDALUS III) drei Szenarien simuliert: Das Baseline-Szenario schreibt die aktuelle Situation fort, w\u00e4hrend das Kyoto-Szenario die Effekte der \u00f6sterreichischen Klimastrategie abbildet. Dar\u00fcber hinaus nimmt das Nachhaltigkeitsszenario internationale Ans\u00e4tze zur Realisierung sozial vertr\u00e4glicher Ma\u00dfnahmen zur Verringerung des Energieeinsatzes und zur Forcierung des technischen Fortschritts auf.<\\\/p><p>KW  - CO2-Emissionen<\\\/p><p>KW  - Energieprognose<\\\/p><p>KW  - Modellsimulation<\\\/p><p>KW  - \u00d6sterreich; Aus WIFO-Studien: Energieszenarien bis 2020; Energy Scenarios up to 2020<\\\/p><p>KW  - CO2-Emissionen<\\\/p><p>KW  - Energieprognose<\\\/p><p>KW  - Modellsimulation<\\\/p><p>KW  - \u00d6sterreich; Aus WIFO-Studien: Energieszenarien bis 2020; Energy Scenarios up to 2020<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 74<\\\/p><p>SP  - 623<\\\/p><p>EP  - 629<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - 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