{"id":105380,"date":"2024-01-22T14:22:10","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T13:22:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/105380\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T03:03:58","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T02:03:58","slug":"hohe-risken-fuer-die-weltwirtschaft-einbruch-der-heimischen-baunachfrage-prognose-fuer-2001-und-2002","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/105380\/","title":{"rendered":"Hohe Risken f\u00fcr die Weltwirtschaft, Einbruch der heimischen Baunachfrage. Prognose f\u00fcr 2001 und 2002"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-105380","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Die Konjunkturprognose erfolgt unter gro\u00dfer Unsicherheit. Der Terroranschlag in den USA hat die Weltwirtschaft in einer \u00e4u\u00dferst labilen Konjunktursituation getroffen. Die Auswirkungen auf die Wirtschaft h\u00e4ngen von der weiteren internationalen Entwicklung und den Reaktionen der Wirtschaftspolitik in den Industriel\u00e4ndern ab. Unter vorsichtig optimistischen Annahmen, die der vorliegenden Prognose zugrunde liegen, erholt sich die Konjunktur in den USA, unterst\u00fctzt von expansiver Wirtschaftspolitik, im Fr\u00fchjahr des kommenden Jahres. Europa k\u00f6nnte, so die automatischen Stabilisatoren der \u00f6ffentlichen Haushalte voll zur Wirkung kommen, mit leichter Zeitverz\u00f6gerung folgen. Dies w\u00fcrde f\u00fcr \u00d6sterreich ein Wirtschaftswachstum von real 1,3% im Jahr 2001 und 1,9% im Jahr 2002 zulassen. Neben der Abschw\u00e4chung der Exportnachfrage tr\u00e4gt auch die Krise in der Bauwirtschaft wesentlich zum Einbruch bei. Das Wirtschaftswachstum reicht nicht aus, um einen Anstieg der Zahl der Arbeitslosen \u00fcber die Marke von 200.000 zu verhindern. Hingegen verlangsamt sich der Preisauftrieb weiter. Aufgrund der Wirkung der automatischen Stabilisatoren d\u00fcrfte das Budgetdefizit im kommenden Jahr bei etwa 10 Mrd. S liegen.","onlinedate":"2001-10-22 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20011001","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Einbruch der heimischen Baunachfrage. Prognose f\u00fcr 2001 und 2002\",\"Kurzfristige Konjunkturprognose\",\"\u00d6sterreich; Hohe Risken f\u00fcr die Weltwirtschaft\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":312410,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"74","monthly_report_pages":"583-592","monthly_report_pages_sort":"583","issue":"10","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2001-10-22 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[4043],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":4043,\"personName\":\"Markus Marterbauer\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.3 (Yoast SEO v27.3) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Hohe Risken f\u00fcr die Weltwirtschaft, Einbruch der heimischen Baunachfrage. 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