{"id":103155,"date":"2024-01-22T13:29:48","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T12:29:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/103155\/"},"modified":"2024-11-14T13:30:05","modified_gmt":"2024-11-14T12:30:05","slug":"sachgueterindustrie-auf-wachstumskurs-dennoch-vorsichtige-investitionsplaene-fuer-2000-ergebnisse-des-wifo-investitionstests-vom-herbst-1999-2","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/103155\/","title":{"rendered":"Stable Growth in Austrian Manufacturing in 2000, Investment Plans Not Overly Optimistic"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-103155","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"Growth prospects for the Austrian economy are expected to improve significantly in 2000. The European economy has gained momentum, the American economy still follows a stable growth path, and Asia and Latin-America are on the road to recovery. WIFO predicts that the Austrian GDP will achieve a real growth rate of 2.8 percent. In the recent business surveys among manufacturing firms most responses were optimistic. All seasonally adjusted indictors have followed an upward trend over the past months. The indicators of production and business climate expectations for the next months point at a continuation of this trend for the rest of the year. According to the most recent WIFO forecast of December 1999, manufacturing output is likely to grow at a rate of 4.3 percent in 2000. Overall conditions for investment are still excellent in Austria. Austrian manufacturing are expanding. Additionally, they have been able to improve their competitiveness in recent years thanks to above-average productivity growth and moderate wage increases. According to the latest WIFO forecast, labour unit costs are expected to decrease further by 1.2 percent vis-\u00e0-vis the major trading partners. Relatively low interest rates and high cash flows likewise contribute to the favourable investment climate in Austria. WIFO expects an overall increase of investment of 3.9 percent in real terms for 2000. According to the recent investment survey, manufacturing firms plan to invest ATS 87.6 billion, i.e., 4 percent above the 1999 level. Several firms plan major investment projects (petroleum, metals, electronics, chemical products and transport). The increase in investment is expected to be highest in sectors producing investment goods (+20 percent), non-durable consumer goods (12.6 percent), food and beverages (10.9 percent) and transport equipment (10.8 percent). Producers of intermediate products plan approximately the same volume of investment as in 1999 (\u20130.7 percent) whereas producers of durable consumer goods intend to reduce their investments by 21.7 percent. The construction industry is expected to expand by 1.5 percent in nominal terms in 2000 and plans investments in plants and machinery of ATS 4.05 billion, which amounts to just two thirds of the 1999 volume. One reason for the pessimistic investment plans may be the envisaged reduction of the public deficit which has made civil engineering firms \u2013 expecting to be affected most \u2013 to curtail their investment plans. Public electricity utilities cut investments by 14.5 percent. The \"Verbund Konzern\", the largest electricity supplier in Austria, again plans massive reductions. This has to be seen as a response to liberalisation of the energy markets in Europe. Firms expect that stranded investments will be only partly accepted by the EU Commission, and they are building up balance sheet reserves against this contingency. Transport firms as well as other utilities (gas, water, etc.) will increase their investments by 3.1 percent.","onlinedate":"2000-02-25 12:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"20000201","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":415638,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"73","monthly_report_pages":"75-85","monthly_report_pages_sort":"75","issue":"2","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":"2000-02-25 12:00:00","types":[44312],"research_groups":[3481,3491],"collaboration":"","persons":[3911,3675,3785],"persons_data":"[{\"personId\":3911,\"personName\":\"Margarete Czerny\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3675,\"personName\":\"Kurt Kratena\",\"organisationNames\":[]},{\"personId\":3785,\"personName\":\"Michael Pfaffermayr\",\"organisationNames\":[]}]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>Czerny, M.<\\\/span><span>, Kratena, K.<\\\/span><span>, &amp; Pfaffermayr, M.<\\\/span> (2000). <span>Sachg\u00fcterindustrie auf Wachstumskurs, dennoch vorsichtige Investitionspl\u00e4ne f\u00fcr 2000. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 1999<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>73<\\\/em>(2), 75-85. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/13647\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/13647<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>Czerny M<\\\/span><span>, Kratena K<\\\/span><span>, Pfaffermayr M<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Sachg\u00fcterindustrie auf Wachstumskurs, dennoch vorsichtige Investitionspl\u00e4ne f\u00fcr 2000. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 1999<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 2000 Feb;73(2):75-85.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{39185b65eb01450b8fd56d854d573180,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}terindustrie auf Wachstumskurs, dennoch vorsichtige Investitionspl{\\\\\\\"a}ne f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2000. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 1999\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"Der WIFO-Investitionstest erfasst Unternehmen der Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}tererzeugung, Bauwirtschaft, Elektrizit{\\\\\\\"a}tsversorgung und von Sondergesellschaften. Diese Bereiche investierten gem{\\\\\\\"a}{\\\\ss} der Hochsch{\\\\\\\"a}tzung 1999 nominell um 0,8\\\\% mehr als 1998. Im Jahr 2000 sind Investitionen von 121,7 Mrd. S geplant (+2,3\\\\%). Wie 1998 nahm die Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}terproduktion 1999 ihre Investitionspl{\\\\\\\"a}ne \u2013 teilweise bedingt durch die Unsicherheiten der Nachfrageentwicklung im 1. Halbjahr \u2013 zur{\\\\\\\"u}ck; unter Ber{\\\\\\\"u}cksichtigung des Revisionsverhaltens ist ein nomineller Zuwachs von 6,4\\\\% (real 6,1\\\\%) wahrscheinlich. F{\\\\\\\"u}r das Jahr 2000 ergibt die Hochsch{\\\\\\\"a}tzung ein Investitionsvolumen von 87,6 Mrd. S (+4,0\\\\%). In der Bauwirtschaft erreichten die Bruttoanlageinvestitionen im Jahr 2000 nach vorl{\\\\\\\"a}ufigen Sch{\\\\\\\"a}tzungen 6.750 Mio. S, nominell um 2,3\\\\% mehr als 1999. Die Notwendigkeit der Budgetkonsolidierung k{\\\\\\\"o}nnte den Spielraum f{\\\\\\\"u}r {\\\\\\\"o}ffentliche Tiefbauinvestitionen einschr{\\\\\\\"a}nken. Die Elektrizit{\\\\\\\"a}tswirtschaft, vor allem der Verbundkonzern drosselte die Investitionen 1999 deutlich, f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2000 wird ein weiterer R{\\\\\\\"u}ckgang erwartet. Nach einer Stagnation 1999 sollen die Investitionen der Verkehrs- und Versorgungsbetriebe 2000 um 3,1\\\\% steigen.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Sachg{\\\\\\\"u}terindustrie auf Wachstumskurs, dennoch vorsichtige Investitionspl{\\\\\\\"a}ne f{\\\\\\\"u}r 2000. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 1999; Stable Growth in Austrian Manufacturing in 2000, Investment Plans Not Overly Optimistic\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"Margarete Czerny and Kurt Kratena and Michael Pfaffermayr\\\",<\\\/div><div>  note     = \\\"Investitionstest\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"2000\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = feb,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"73\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"75--85\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Sachg\u00fcterindustrie auf Wachstumskurs, dennoch vorsichtige Investitionspl\u00e4ne f\u00fcr 2000. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 1999<\\\/p><p>AU  - Czerny, Margarete<\\\/p><p>AU  - Kratena, Kurt<\\\/p><p>AU  - Pfaffermayr, Michael<\\\/p><p>N1  - Investitionstest<\\\/p><p>PY  - 2000\\\/2<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 2000\\\/2<\\\/p><p>N2  - Der WIFO-Investitionstest erfasst Unternehmen der Sachg\u00fctererzeugung, Bauwirtschaft, Elektrizit\u00e4tsversorgung und von Sondergesellschaften. Diese Bereiche investierten gem\u00e4\u00df der Hochsch\u00e4tzung 1999 nominell um 0,8% mehr als 1998. Im Jahr 2000 sind Investitionen von 121,7 Mrd. S geplant (+2,3%). Wie 1998 nahm die Sachg\u00fcterproduktion 1999 ihre Investitionspl\u00e4ne \u2013 teilweise bedingt durch die Unsicherheiten der Nachfrageentwicklung im 1. Halbjahr \u2013 zur\u00fcck; unter Ber\u00fccksichtigung des Revisionsverhaltens ist ein nomineller Zuwachs von 6,4% (real 6,1%) wahrscheinlich. F\u00fcr das Jahr 2000 ergibt die Hochsch\u00e4tzung ein Investitionsvolumen von 87,6 Mrd. S (+4,0%). In der Bauwirtschaft erreichten die Bruttoanlageinvestitionen im Jahr 2000 nach vorl\u00e4ufigen Sch\u00e4tzungen 6.750 Mio. S, nominell um 2,3% mehr als 1999. Die Notwendigkeit der Budgetkonsolidierung k\u00f6nnte den Spielraum f\u00fcr \u00f6ffentliche Tiefbauinvestitionen einschr\u00e4nken. Die Elektrizit\u00e4tswirtschaft, vor allem der Verbundkonzern drosselte die Investitionen 1999 deutlich, f\u00fcr 2000 wird ein weiterer R\u00fcckgang erwartet. Nach einer Stagnation 1999 sollen die Investitionen der Verkehrs- und Versorgungsbetriebe 2000 um 3,1% steigen.<\\\/p><p>AB  - Der WIFO-Investitionstest erfasst Unternehmen der Sachg\u00fctererzeugung, Bauwirtschaft, Elektrizit\u00e4tsversorgung und von Sondergesellschaften. Diese Bereiche investierten gem\u00e4\u00df der Hochsch\u00e4tzung 1999 nominell um 0,8% mehr als 1998. Im Jahr 2000 sind Investitionen von 121,7 Mrd. S geplant (+2,3%). Wie 1998 nahm die Sachg\u00fcterproduktion 1999 ihre Investitionspl\u00e4ne \u2013 teilweise bedingt durch die Unsicherheiten der Nachfrageentwicklung im 1. Halbjahr \u2013 zur\u00fcck; unter Ber\u00fccksichtigung des Revisionsverhaltens ist ein nomineller Zuwachs von 6,4% (real 6,1%) wahrscheinlich. F\u00fcr das Jahr 2000 ergibt die Hochsch\u00e4tzung ein Investitionsvolumen von 87,6 Mrd. S (+4,0%). In der Bauwirtschaft erreichten die Bruttoanlageinvestitionen im Jahr 2000 nach vorl\u00e4ufigen Sch\u00e4tzungen 6.750 Mio. S, nominell um 2,3% mehr als 1999. Die Notwendigkeit der Budgetkonsolidierung k\u00f6nnte den Spielraum f\u00fcr \u00f6ffentliche Tiefbauinvestitionen einschr\u00e4nken. Die Elektrizit\u00e4tswirtschaft, vor allem der Verbundkonzern drosselte die Investitionen 1999 deutlich, f\u00fcr 2000 wird ein weiterer R\u00fcckgang erwartet. Nach einer Stagnation 1999 sollen die Investitionen der Verkehrs- und Versorgungsbetriebe 2000 um 3,1% steigen.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Sachg\u00fcterindustrie auf Wachstumskurs<\\\/p><p>KW  -  dennoch vorsichtige Investitionspl\u00e4ne f\u00fcr 2000. Ergebnisse des WIFO-Investitionstests vom Herbst 1999; Stable Growth in Austrian Manufacturing in 2000<\\\/p><p>KW  -  Investment Plans Not Overly Optimistic<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 73<\\\/p><p>SP  - 75<\\\/p><p>EP  - 85<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Stable Growth in Austrian Manufacturing in 2000, Investment Plans Not Overly Optimistic - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/103155\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Stable Growth in Austrian Manufacturing in 2000, Investment Plans Not Overly Optimistic\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/103155\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-14T12:30:05+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/103155\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/103155\\\/\",\"name\":\"Stable Growth in Austrian Manufacturing in 2000, Investment Plans Not Overly Optimistic - 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