{"id":102559,"date":"2024-01-22T13:14:32","date_gmt":"2024-01-22T12:14:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/publication\/102559\/"},"modified":"2024-11-07T02:42:06","modified_gmt":"2024-11-07T01:42:06","slug":"prognose-fuer-1989-und-1990-hochkonjunktur","status":"publish","type":"publication","link":"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/102559\/","title":{"rendered":"Outlook for 1989 and 1990: Cyclical Boom To Continue"},"content":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","class_list":["post-102559","publication","type-publication","status-publish","hentry"],"acf":{"subtitle":"","text":"For almost two years now the Austrian economy has been performing better than at any time in the 1980's. Growth of real GDP will again reach 4 percent in 1989 and probably 3 percent in 1990. Manufacturing industry has a comfortable backlog of unfilled orders assuring high capacity utilization well into next year and firms express optimism as regards sales and profit prospects. A strong upswing of private investment has been set in motion this year and will keep its momentum in 1990. Households have seen their disposable incomes rising considerably due to the tax reform. Together with higher wages and gains in employment, this will allow private consumption to grow by over 3 percent. Domestic developments do not provide major risks for the bright outlook. Inflation, while somewhat accelerating, remains under control and the current account is in broad equilibrium. Capacity shortages are unlikely to emerge on a larger scale due to buoyant investment and elastic labour supply. On the international level, final demand is still strong and broadly based among its different components. Growth is expected to slow gradually under the effect of rising interest rates. However, the size of the reaction by investors and consumers, particularly after the latest round of rate increases in Europe, is an element of uncertainty surrounding the forecast.","onlinedate":"1989-10-01 01:00:00","lang":"German","publication_series":"","publication_date":"19891001","publication_date_year":"","publication_date_full":false,"publication_num_pages":"","keywords":"[\"Prognose f\u00fcr 1989 und 1990. Hochkonjunktur; Outlook for 1989 and 1990: Cyclical Boom To Continue\"]","jelcodes":"[]","related_publications":"[]","pdf":306023,"zip":null,"link":"","monthly_report":true,"monthly_report_main":false,"monthly_report_volume":"62","monthly_report_pages":"583-595","monthly_report_pages_sort":"583","issue":"10","journal":"WIFO-Monatsberichte","publisher":"","invisible":false,"external":false,"embargo_date":null,"types":[44312],"research_groups":[3500],"collaboration":"","persons":[],"persons_data":"[]","clients":[],"subclients":[],"partners":[],"topics":[],"host_publication_title":"","host_publication_subtitle":"","place_of_publication":"","host_publication_editors":"[]","type_description":"","output_media":"","chapter":"","article_number":"","citations":"{\"apa\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_apa rendering_contributiontoperiodical_apa\\\"><span>WIFO<\\\/span> (1989). <span>Prognose f\u00fcr 1989 und 1990. Hochkonjunktur<\\\/span>. <span><em>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/em><\\\/span>, <em>62<\\\/em>(10), 583-595. <a onclick=\\\"window.open(this.href, '_blank','noopener,noreferrer'); return false;\\\" href=\\\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/7984\\\" class=\\\"link\\\"><span>https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/wwa\\\/pubid\\\/7984<\\\/span><\\\/a><\\\/div>\",\"vancouver\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_vancouver rendering_contributiontoperiodical_vancouver\\\"><span>WIFO<\\\/span>. <span class=\\\"title\\\"><span>Prognose f\u00fcr 1989 und 1990. Hochkonjunktur<\\\/span><\\\/span>. <span>WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/span>. 1989 Oct;62(10):583-595.<\\\/div>\",\"bibtex\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_bibtex rendering_contributiontoperiodical_bibtex\\\"><div>@misc{0d69568ed89f47a7a7e943d703dae433,<\\\/div><div>  title    = \\\"Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 1989 und 1990. Hochkonjunktur\\\",<\\\/div><div>  abstract = \\\"In {\\\\\\\"O}sterreich herrscht zum ersten Mal in den achtziger Jahren Hochkonjunktur. Das Brutto-Inlandsprodukt wird heuer wie im vergangenen Jahr real um etwa 4\\\\% wachsen, 1990 noch um 3\\\\%. Die {\\\\\\\"o}sterreichische Wirtschaft profitiert vom Aufschwung der Konjunktur in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland und erh{\\\\\\\"a}lt gleichzeitig von der Steuerreform wesentliche Impulse.\\\",<\\\/div><div>  keywords = \\\"Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 1989 und 1990. Hochkonjunktur; Outlook for 1989 and 1990: Cyclical Boom To Continue, Prognose f{\\\\\\\"u}r 1989 und 1990. Hochkonjunktur; Outlook for 1989 and 1990: Cyclical Boom To Continue\\\",<\\\/div><div>  author   = \\\"WIFO\\\",<\\\/div><div>  year     = \\\"1989\\\",<\\\/div><div>  month    = oct,<\\\/div><div>  language = \\\"Deutsch\\\",<\\\/div><div>  volume   = \\\"62\\\",<\\\/div><div>  pages    = \\\"583--595\\\",<\\\/div><div>  journal  = \\\"WIFO-Monatsberichte\\\",<\\\/div><p>}<\\\/p><\\\/div>\",\"ris\":\"<div class=\\\"rendering rendering_researchoutput  rendering_researchoutput_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical rendering_ris rendering_contributiontoperiodical_ris\\\"><p>TY  - GEN<\\\/p><p>T1  - Prognose f\u00fcr 1989 und 1990. Hochkonjunktur<\\\/p><p>AU  - WIFO, null<\\\/p><p>PY  - 1989\\\/10<\\\/p><p>Y1  - 1989\\\/10<\\\/p><p>N2  - In \u00d6sterreich herrscht zum ersten Mal in den achtziger Jahren Hochkonjunktur. Das Brutto-Inlandsprodukt wird heuer wie im vergangenen Jahr real um etwa 4% wachsen, 1990 noch um 3%. Die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft profitiert vom Aufschwung der Konjunktur in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland und erh\u00e4lt gleichzeitig von der Steuerreform wesentliche Impulse.<\\\/p><p>AB  - In \u00d6sterreich herrscht zum ersten Mal in den achtziger Jahren Hochkonjunktur. Das Brutto-Inlandsprodukt wird heuer wie im vergangenen Jahr real um etwa 4% wachsen, 1990 noch um 3%. Die \u00f6sterreichische Wirtschaft profitiert vom Aufschwung der Konjunktur in der Bundesrepublik Deutschland und erh\u00e4lt gleichzeitig von der Steuerreform wesentliche Impulse.<\\\/p><p>KW  - Prognose f\u00fcr 1989 und 1990. Hochkonjunktur; Outlook for 1989 and 1990: Cyclical Boom To Continue<\\\/p><p>KW  - Prognose f\u00fcr 1989 und 1990. Hochkonjunktur; Outlook for 1989 and 1990: Cyclical Boom To Continue<\\\/p><p>M3  - WIFO-Schriftenreihen<\\\/p><p>VL  - 62<\\\/p><p>SP  - 583<\\\/p><p>EP  - 595<\\\/p><p>JO  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>JF  - WIFO-Monatsberichte<\\\/p><p>ER  - <\\\/p><\\\/div>\"}","scientific_assistance":"[]","scientific_review":"[]","version":"","release_date":null,"expiration_date":null,"surveyor":"","research_assistance":"","edv":"","additional_info_de":"","additional_info_en":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v28.0 (Yoast SEO v28.0) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-premium-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Outlook for 1989 and 1990: Cyclical Boom To Continue - WIFO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/102559\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Outlook for 1989 and 1990: Cyclical Boom To Continue\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/en\/publication\/102559\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"WIFO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WIFOat\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-11-07T01:42:06+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.wifo.ac.at\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/05\/WIFO-Gebaeude-FotoAlexanderMueller-www.alexandermueller.at-IMG_6326-Bearbeitet-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1920\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1280\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@WIFOat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/102559\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/www.wifo.ac.at\\\/en\\\/publication\\\/102559\\\/\",\"name\":\"Outlook for 1989 and 1990: Cyclical Boom To Continue - 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