WIFO Bulletin

The WIFO Bulletin is published online and focuses on

  • International and Austrian economic outlooks,
  • Recent economic developments,
  • Studies on European integration.

We offer subscriptions and single downloads. Subscription form

You may find all articles of the Bulletin's predecessor here:  Austrian Economic Quarterly

Search for articlesAdvanced search

Recent issues (130 hits)

WIFO Bulletin, 2020, 25(10), pp.87-100
Online since: 18.11.2020 0:00
 
In spring, the global economy suffered a massive slump due to the pandemic-related protective measures. The loss in value added was partially made up in the summer; in Austria, value added in the third quarter is likely to have grown by more than 10 percent compared with the previous quarter. About half of the crisis-related rise in unemployment was reduced by September. In the fourth quarter, however, economic momentum will slow down markedly as a result of expiring rebound effects (the unwinding of the consumption backlog) and an increase in the number of infections. For 2020, GDP is forecast to fall by 6.8 percent overall compared with 2019, and rise by 4.4 percent in 2021. A new lockdown in autumn could reduce these rates by 2.5 and 4.0 percentage points respectively.
WIFO Bulletin, 2020, 25(9), pp.75-86
Online since: 09.11.2020 0:00
 
In 2019, the Austrian private insurance industry continued the previous year's development with a moderate increase in gross premium income (+1.6 percent). This development was driven by a dynamic expansion in health (+4.9 percent) and non-life and accident insurance (+2.9 percent), while revenues in life insurance were down 2.2 percent. The Austrian insurance market followed the general dynamics in the European Economic Area. Due to the COVID-19 crisis, forecasts for real premium growth in life insurance will be revised downwards for 2020 and 2021 by around 4 percentage points, and by 1 percentage point in non-life insurance.
 
In the EU, all components of demand were impacted by the economic downturn in the second quarter; in the UK, France and Italy, private consumption was affected to an above-average extent. In Austria, economic output in the second quarter was one eighth down compared to the previous year's level, the decline thus being less pronounced than the EU average. Tourism suffered less than in Italy or Spain; the development of overnight stays by German and domestic visitors cushioned the drop in demand in July. Only a good third of the unemployment caused by the crisis has so far been recuperated. As a result, long-term unemployment has continued to rise recently.
 
In Austria, economic output fell in the first half of 2020 due to the measures taken to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. A decline of 2.4 percent compared to the previous period in the first quarter was followed by a contraction of 10.7 percent in the second quarter (seasonally adjusted according to Eurostat standard). Although companies continue to assess the current situation unfavourably in surveys, expectation indicators in particular have improved. Economic risks have recently been pointing more strongly downwards again due to the recent increase in the number of infections.
WIFO Bulletin, 2020, 25(6), pp.45-58
Online since: 11.08.2020 0:00
 
The measures adopted to contain the COVID-19 pandemic give rise to a recession in Austria. With a slump by 7.0 percent year-on-year, demand and output will contract even more sharply in 2020 than during the economic and financial market crisis of 2008-09. Since the trough now appears to have been passed, the recession promises to be short. Nevertheless, GDP will still not be back to its pre-crisis level by the end of the projection horizon (end of 2021).
 
Austria's economic output fell sharply and on a broad basis in the first quarter of 2020 due to the measures taken to contain the COVID-19 pandemic. Although companies continue to assess the current situation unfavourably, expectation indicators improved.
 
The global economy was hit strongly by the effects of the COVID-19 related restrictions imposed worldwide to contain the pandemic. Initial data already show a decline in GDP in all major economic regions in the first quarter. Confidence indicators deteriorated to a level similar to that during the financial market crisis in 2008-09. In Austria, too, economic output already declined in the first quarter. Consumption as well as accommodation and food service activities, transportation, wholesale and retail trade, repair of motor vehicles and motorcycles and other service activities were particularly affected. After rising strongly within two weeks at the end of March, unemployment continued to rise in April, albeit at a slower pace. Inflation fell in March.
 
The trade conflict between China and the USA and the crisis in the automotive industry are having a negative impact on industrial activity worldwide. New strict EU emission regulations will continue to create a difficult environment in the future. However, the service sector is proving to be a strong pillar of the economy. In Austria, tourism in particular continues to expand unabated.
 
The trade conflict between China and the USA and the crisis in the automotive industry are having a negative impact on industrial activity worldwide. New strict EU emission regulations will continue to create a difficult environment in the future. However, the service sector is proving to be a strong pillar of the economy. In Austria, tourism in particular continues to expand unabated.
 
Economic growth in Austria lost considerable momentum in recent months. A major reason is the current phase of weakness in the global trade cycle that weighs on exports and industrial output. Persistently favourable financing conditions, fiscal incentives and resilient consumer demand remain supportive to domestic business activity. After an increase of 1.7 percent in 2019, GDP is projected to grow by 1.2 percent in 2020 and 1.4 percent in 2021.
Mehr

Contact persons

 

Andreas Reinstaller

Function: Senior Economist, Editor WIFO-Monatsberichte and WIFO Bulletin

Tamara Fellinger

Activities: Publications, website, subscriptions

Ilse Schulz

Activities: Publications, website, subscriptions

Tatjana Weber

Activities: Publications, website, subscriptions