New WIFO Working Paper

10.01.2019

WIFO industrial economist Werner Hölzl publishes WIFO Working Paper on Aggregate Bank Lending

Business surveys can provide timely information on bank lending. In this new working paper, WIFO industrial economist Werner Hölzl, Jarko Fidrmuc (Zeppelin University) and Christa Hainz (ifo Institute) show that firms' credit market experience determines their perception of aggregate bank lending policy using panel data from the Austrian Business Survey between 2011 and 2016.

In their study, WIFO industrial economist Werner Hölzl, Jarko Fidrmuc (Zeppelin University) and Christa Hainz (ifo Institute) find that loan rejections have a strongly negative and persistent effect on perceptions. Interestingly, firms that receive a loan at worse than anticipated conditions show a similarly negative effect. Firms that do not need a loan tend to perceive lending policy as neutral and revise their perceptions less often. The findings are in line with theories on sticky information, rational inattention and pessimism bias and suggest considering experience for the aggregation of perceptions.

Rückfragen an

Margit Schratzenstaller-Altzinger

Function: Research staff member, Deputy director

Publications

WIFO Working Papers, 2018, (574), 34 pages
Online since: 20.12.2018 0:00
We show that firms' credit market experience determines their perception of aggregate bank lending policy using panel data from the Austrian Business Survey between 2011 and 2016. Loan rejections have a strongly negative and persistent effect on perceptions. Interestingly, firms that receive a loan at worse than anticipated conditions show a similarly negative effect. Firms that do not need a loan tend to perceive lending policy as neutral and revise their perceptions less often. Our findings are in line with theories on sticky information, rational inattention and pessimism bias and suggest considering experience for the aggregation of perceptions.
Photo: Jürgen Kasperek/pixelio.de
Photo: Jürgen Kasperek/pixelio.de