Projections indicate that this annual additional expenditure will rise to almost 600 million by 2030. For the years 2019 and 2020, already additional expenditures of 289 and 308 million (at current prices), respectively, are projected, followed by 427 million in 2025.
The federal government compensated the Länder for costs resulting from the abolition of asset recourse of 295.5 million for 2018. For the years 2019 and 2020, the compensation payments by the federal government are fixed at 300 million each.
According to official statistics ("Pflegedienstleistungsstatistik"), public expenditure on nursing care services in 2018 increased by as much as 318 million against 2017. "Part of this substantial increase in expenditure is, however, related to demographic and other effects beyond the abolition of the recourse", Matthias Firgo and Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger sum up in their report.
The abolition of self-recourse and the future annual valorisation of the care allowance ("Pflegegeld") also justify a reassessment
of the longer-term expenditure paths in long-term care: from 2023 onwards, expenditure on benefits in kind will exceed that
on care allowance. In total, public expenditure on cash and in-kind benefits will increase from 5.1 billion in the
base year 2018 to 9.1 billion in nominal terms and 7.5 billion in real terms in 2030. The projections in this
report thus confirm the high dynamics of public spending on nursing care revealed in earlier WIFO studies.