Corona Crisis: Impact on Vienna's Economy

02.04.2020

A Brief Analysis of WIFO's Research Group Structural Change and Regional Development

A brief analysis published on 2 April 2020 by the WIFO research group Structural Change and Regional Development estimates the relative vulnerability of Vienna's economy to the COVID 19 crisis compared to the national level on the basis of the current state of information.

The aim was to identify possible specifics of the Viennese economy regarding the economic consequences of the current phase of the COVID 19 crisis compared to Austria. In summary, the core results of the short analysis can be outlined as follows:

  • In spite of considerable structural differences to Austria, Vienna shows an overall similar degree of economic impact in the current phase of the crisis.

  • It is true that a slightly higher proportion of the Viennese city economy's regional workforce is employed in unaffected industry groups. At the same time, however, the share of employees is also marginally higher in industry groups that are unable or barely able to carry out their business activities due to the restrictions currently in force and are therefore strongly or very strongly affected by the crisis.

  • According to the results, in the current phase of the COVID 19 crisis, industry groups with more than two thirds of the Viennese workforce are at least significantly affected by its economic consequences. Thus, horizontal measures with a broad sectoral impact will probably be preferable in the current situation to selective measures to support specific sectors.

  • According to the available results, the risk of supply-side production disruptions due to COVID-19-related labour shortages is significantly lower in Vienna than in Austria but remains considerable in the city economy as well.

  • Higher employment shares in industry groups with at best a moderate risk of default are accompanied in Vienna by significantly lower shares in industries with a high or very high risk of production disruptions due to COVID-19-related labour shortages.This is primarily due to the lack of specialisation in Vienna in large parts of the manufacturing sector with its need for workers to be present at the production site.

  • Even in Vienna, however, industry groups with more than half of the regional workforce are very sensitive to potential labour shortages. Therefore, the risk of production disruptions due to COVID-19-related labour shortages is virulent here as well.

The core of the WIFO analysis was an in-depth assessment of the individual industry groups with regard to their economic impact in the current phase of the crisis. In order to evaluate the individual (altogether 88) industry groups, a variety of information sources were used, namely empirical indicator analyses, sectoral information from the WIFO Macroeconomic Scenario 2020, but also selective interviews, media information and qualitative assessments of a broad WIFO expert team.

 

Publications

Julia Bachtrögler, Matthias Firgo, Oliver Fritz, Michael Klien, Peter Mayerhofer, Philipp Piribauer, Gerhard Streicher
Kurzanalyse zur relativen Betroffenheit der Wiener Wirtschaft von der aktuellen COVID-19-Krise
Studies, March 2020, 42 pages
Commissioned by: The Vienna City Administration
Study by: Austrian Institute of Economic Research
Online since: 02.04.2020 0:00
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In der derzeitigen Phase der COVID-19-Krise erscheint die Wirtschaft in Wien ähnlich betroffen wie in Österreich insgesamt. Ein einfacher Strukturansatz auf Basis eingehender Branchenanalysen zeigt für Wien jedoch spezifische Ursachen in den einzelnen Sektoren. Die Gefahr angebotsseitiger Produktionsstörungen durch den krisenbedingten Ausfall von Arbeitskräften ist auch in Wien erheblich, aber deutlich geringer als im Österreich-Durchschnitt.
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© Jacek Dylag/Unsplash