Empirica – Journal of European Economics

Sponsored by the Austrian Economic Association and the Austrian Institute of Economic Research

Empirica publishes empirical and theoretical work on all economic aspects of European Integration. The topics may range from all challenges concerning the deepening of the European Union (Single Market, Lisbon Agenda, EMU) to enlargement and the external relations of the EU (globalisation).

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M. Hakan Berument, N. Nergiz Dincer, Pinar Yasar
Persistency of Turkish export shocks: a quantile autoregression (QAR) approach
Empirica, 2016, 43(3), S.445-460, http://www.springer.com/10663
This study analyses the persistency of total and disaggregated Turkish exports for different shock magnitudes using the quantile autoregression (QAR) method in line with Koenker and Xiao (J Am Stat Assoc 99:775-787, 2004). The results suggest that the persistence of shocks are not similar across different quantiles of total exports and disaggregated export sectors, indicating an asymmetry in the case of negative and positive shocks across different export sectors. The persistency behaviour of total exports as well as food and beverages, chemicals, basic metals, raw materials, motor vehicles and radio and TV exports are asymmetric to negative versus positive shocks, which cannot be captured by traditional unit root tests. Thus, sound interpretation of QAR results is necessary for policy makers to identify shock characteristics and thereby pursue appropriate policies for overcoming adverse impacts on the economy.
Keywords:Export demand Unit root Quantile autoregression
Forschungsbereich:Industrie-, Innovations- und internationale Ökonomie
Sprache:Englisch

Managing Editor

Univ.-Prof. MMag. Dr. Harald Oberhofer

Funktion: Ökonom (Senior Economist), Editor-in-Chief Empirica
Forschungsgruppe: Industrie-, Innovations- und internationale Ökonomie