Für 1998 schätzt das WIFO angesichts der Konjunkturdämpfung im 2. Halbjahr die Cash-flow-Quote der österreichischen Sachgütererzeugung
auf 8,9%, nur wenig höher als 1997. Im europäischen Vergleich liegt Österreich gemeinsam mit Deutschland, Frankreich oder
Belgien etwa im Durchschnitt.
Keywords:Selbstfinanzierungskraft und Kapitalausstattung im internationalen Vergleich. Cash-flow und Eigenkapital der österreichischen
Sachgütererzeugung im Jahr 1998; Self-financing Capacity and Capitalisation of Austrian Manufacturing in an International
Compari
Forschungsbereich:Industrie-, Innovations- und internationale Ökonomie
Sprache:Deutsch
Self-financing Capacity and Capitalisation of Austrian Manufacturing in an International Comparison
For 1998, WIFO estimates a cash-flow to sales ratio of 8.9 percent, approximately the same level as in 1997. Surveys performed
by the Confederation of Austrian Industry (Vereinigung der Österreichischen Industrie) among manufacturing firms confirm this
estimate and likewise suggest no further improvement of profits. During the first half of 1998, Austrian manufacturing performed
well and achieved an above-average export performance, whereas in the second half of the year, especially in the last quarter,
demand growth was dampened. The main reason for this reduction in industry growth lies in reduced world demand and, consequently,
declining growth in export demand as a result of the crisis in East Asia, Latin America and Russia and the associated turbulent
reactions of the financial markets. According to the WIFO business survey, firms revised their expectations of future prices
and production downwards in the second half of 1998. The volume of incoming orders and the business climate in general have
also been assessed more pessimistically. The same holds true for most of the European countries. On the cost side, the enhanced
competitiveness is an important factor of profitability which prevented earnings from falling as a reaction to declining demand
growth. In relation to Austria's trading partners, unit labour costs decreased further in 1998 and prices of raw materials
fell significantly. The gain in competitiveness is mainly driven by above-average productivity increases rather than reduced
producer prices. This has to be seen as a consequence of the ongoing structural change in Austrian manufacturing and it suggests
that firms are more and more able to improve the quality and sophistication of their products. With international comparative
data only available until 1996, Austrian manufacturing maintained its past position near the European average despite a certain
weakening of its cash-flow ratio. The situation is similar with regard to the equity ratio, where Austrian manufacturing –
lagging far behind until the end of the 1980s – continues to catch up relative to the European average. However, as Austria
is approaching the European level, the process is slowing down. European front runners in terms of cash-flow ratio are the
Netherlands with more than 16 percent (1996) and Sweden with 14 percent (1995). Belgium and Denmark also report a somewhat
higher ratio than Austria. However, Austrian manufacturing still outperforms Italy and Spain as well as Germany and France,
where the cash-flow ratios are below 8 percent. In a global comparison within the "triad", the cash-flow ratio in 1996 was
highest in the USA (12 percent), followed by an average of seven comparable European countries (9 percent), and Japan (8 percent)
ranking last.